Causal.app
Pros:
Free to EA (all nonprofits?)
Very good UI, high signal to noise
'Spreadsheet input, dashboard output'
Flexibly embodies uncertainty
Can take data input (but through GUI stuff like Gsheet only)
Good 'time-series' tools
Founders are EA-aligned
Cons:
Not code-based,
not planning to move there (had some initiatives, may be able to revive it)
"Default time-series"
Missing some ‘sensitivity analysis’ tools perhaps?
Express/visualize calculations and uncertainty in spreadsheet:
Input in 'simple language' (default options) or explicit formulae
Midpoint displayed by default, Mouse-over hover reveals (95%?) CI
Outputs and 'intermediate calculations' specified with plain language 'labeled' formulae, and displayed with quick graphs
'Dashboard': visualize (probabilistic) results, see & tweak inputs, minimal clutter
DR: I can't recall how to visualize side-by side comparison of scenarios. I know there's a way.
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